From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
The March 2026 registered direct embedded a cashless zero-exercise-price warrant with a floor price mechanic — functionally a variable-rate instrument. On a post-split basis there are ~839,999 warrant shares outstanding against a reported float of only 181,670, i.e., pending warrant supply equals ~4.6x the current float. Because the current stock price (~$4.17) sits far below the post-split floor price (~$40), the floor price is the governing denominator in the cashless formula, maximizing the number of shares the warrant holder can extract without paying additional cash. Overlay this with (a) three reverse splits in three years, (b) a $200M universal shelf (34x market cap) that is already effective, and (c) unlimited authorized share capacity — the structure is built for rapid float expansion.
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry. Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
Float Discrepancy: our SEC analysis shows 182K vs 26.20M reported — overstated 144.2×
Only Insight Sentry float available (181,670 post-split). Reported float is believed current as of 2026-04-22. The principal off-ledger supply risk is the 839,999 warrant shares (post-split equivalent) from the March 2026 registered direct — these are already registered on Form F-3 (333-292111) and will flow directly into free-trading float the moment they are exercised via the cashless/zero-exerc...
Reported float + filing adjustments
MEDIUM confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
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Sign in to continue- 1-for-35·Dec 20, 2023~3 yr ago
- 1-for-20·Apr 1, 2025~1 yr ago
- 1-for-100·Apr 6, 2026~5 mo ago
- ▸Variable-rate cashless zero-exercise-price warrants (839,999 post-split shares, floor $40 post-split, expires March 2027)
- ▸$200M universal shelf (F-3) with ~$186M remaining capacity
- ▸Unlimited authorized share capacity (BVI issuer)
Market Data
$2.48
$87.42M
26.33M
26.20M
1.29M