TNONTenon Medical, Inc. · Nasdaq Capital Market
Effective Supply — the real overhang

From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.

550.8K
Reported Float
550.8K
Tradeable Now
(estimated float)
1.15M
Effective Supply
4.07M
Fully Diluted
Dilution risk7/10
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM
HIGHAssessed Sep 1, 2026Trigger: 8-K financing eventCRITICALPre-funded warrant overhang (shadow float)CRITICALVariable-rate convertible note (floating 80%-of-VWAP)

Against a 550,801-share tradeable float: (1) a $5.16M 20% OID senior convertible note becomes holder-convertible on 2026-09-11 (ten days out) at the greater of 80% of the 3-day VWAP and a $5.4845 floor — up to ~940,742 shares, 171% of the float, though the floor currently sits ABOVE the $4.53 market, which caps the classic death-spiral mechanic and pushes the holder toward repayment or the 5% extension to 2026-12-11; (2) 597,610 pre-funded warrants at $0.001 issued 2026-08-31 are convertible-to-stock at will and equal 108% of the float; (3) 1,058,517 Series A warrants at $5.02 are only 11% out-of-the-money — 192% of the float in near-money paper on a 5-year term; (4) a brand-new $4,397,821 ATM (2026-08-11, A.G.P.) equals ~970,000 shares at current price, 176% of float and 146% of the $3.0M market cap, live as soon as the S-3 goes effective; (5) shareholders approved (Proposal 5, July 2026) blanket authority to issue up to 250,000,000 pre-split shares plus 250,000,000 warrant shares, up to $50M, at discounts as deep as 80% to market, with an outside date of 2026-10-23. Offsetting the score: the note's floor is above market, the bulk of legacy warrants (716,705 at a $33.08 WAEP, incl. 473,685 at $13.30) are deeply out-of-the-money with no disclosed reset, and stock-based paper (504 options at $390.25, 34,573 RSUs) is immaterial.

Share Structure

Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown

LIKELY STALE

Reported float from Insight Sentry (NASDAQ:TNON) — sanity-checked: 550,801 < 667,047 shares outstanding and price × float < price × outstanding, so the feed is already 1-for-35 split-adjusted and internally consistent. Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.

Reported Float551K13.5%
Convertible Notes941K23.1%
20% Original Issue Discount Senior Convertible Promissory Notes issued 2026-03-11 (WallachBeth Capital placement agent). Convertible at holder's option beginning the six-month anniversary (2026-09-11), which is also the stated maturity; maturity extendable at company option to 2026-12-11 with a 5% principal increase. Prepayment at 102.5%; mandatory prepayment from 15% of net proceeds of any securities financing. Conversion feature bifurcated as a derivative liability ($475K at 6/30/26).
Conv. Price: floating_discount
Est. Shares: ~941K (agent-computed)
Warrants3.12M76.6%
common1.06M shares at $5.02
pre-funded598K shares at $0.001
common717K shares at $33.08
common474K shares at $13.3
common70K shares at $43.75
common35K shares at $43.75
common63K shares at $40.6
common36K shares at $70
common21K shares at $70
common6K shares at $880.88
common1K shares at $149.8
common464 shares at $149.65
common161 shares at $543.2
placement_agent35 shares at $14000
placement_agent5K shares at $15.96
pre-funded33K shares at $0.0001
Other5040.0%
Options / RSUs504 shares
≈ Estimated Actual Float

Reported float + filing adjustments

551K

MEDIUM confidence

Pending Shares as % of Float617.7%

Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.

Fully Diluted4.07M100%

Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.

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Dilution profile
Reverse splits (3)
  • 1-for-10·Nov 2, 2023~3 yr ago
  • 1-for-8·Sep 6, 2024~2 yr ago
  • 1-for-35·Aug 10, 2026~1 mo ago
Active mechanisms
  • $5.16M 20% OID senior convertible note, floating at 80% of 3-day VWAP with a $5.4845 floor, holder-convertible from 2026-09-11
  • 597,610 pre-funded warrants at $0.001 (August 2026 PIPE) — exercisable now, 9.99% blocker
  • 1,058,517 Series A warrants at $5.02 (August 2026 PIPE) — near-the-money, 5-year, 4.99% blocker steppable to 9.99%
  • $4,397,821 ATM with A.G.P. signed 2026-08-11 (3% commission), baby-shelf capped
  • $100,000,000 base shelf (File No. 333-298245) pending effectiveness
  • Stockholder-approved authority (Proposal 5, annual meeting 2026-07-23) for future below-market 20% issuances at up to an 80% discount, through 2026-10-23
  • 473,685 July 2026 Offering Warrants at $13.30 with a reverse-split ratchet that already increased them from 378,948 to 473,685
  • 290,613 Series A/B preferred convertible into 53,459 common shares
  • Mandatory note prepayment of 15% of net proceeds of any securities financing — links every future raise to note paydown, incentivizing more raises

Market Data

Price

$2.44

Market Cap

$2.52M

Outstanding

1.03M

Float

550.8K

Avg Volume

2.18M

Exchange: NASDAQ|Source: Insight Sentry
TNON Float & Dilution Analysis | ShareStructure.io