From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
Score is driven almost entirely by warrant overhang and active issuance, not by convertibles — the convertible/preferred component is essentially zero because every convertible note was extinguished during 2025 and every preferred series was converted or redeemed (Series C redeemed for $922,400 cash on 2026-06-03; zero preferred outstanding as of 2026-08-17). What remains is a 1,371,135-share pre-funded warrant block struck at $0.00001–$0.001, equal to 83% of the tradeable float and exercisable at will subject only to 9.99% blockers; these warrants have been converting into float continuously (+192,408 shares, +12.8%, in the single quarter to 2026-08-11). Layered on top: 1,667,000 October 2025 PIPE warrants whose exercise price has ALREADY been ratcheted once from $12.00 to a $4.99–$6.84 floor by a down-round provision (a demonstrated, live reset mechanism sitting just above the $4.03 market), roughly 1,205,000 additional undisclosed warrants at a ~$6.90 weighted strike, and a brand-new $2,229,000 ATM signed 2026-08-18 that is fully undrawn and equal to ~738,079 shares, or 45% of the float, at recent prices. Score is capped at 7 rather than 9-10 because the single largest supply event — the Metaplanet subscription for 44,859,400 shares plus 391,000,000 warrant shares — is contingent on a Q4 2026 stockholder vote and carries a 5-year lock-up on the Metaplanet block itself; it is a scheduled structural event rather than a mechanism currently grinding shares into the tape. Historical pattern is maximally adverse (three reverse splits totaling ~1-for-9,600, 1800 Diagonal Lending variable-rate paper, Agile Capital confessed-judgment notes at 42% effective rates, two terminated ELOCs, and a 40%-coupon related-party note) but that is context, not the current driver.
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry (NASDAQ:SLE), reported float 1,642,803 vs reported shares outstanding 1,695,120. Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
Reported float + filing adjustments
MEDIUM confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
See the full breakdown
Red flags, financing counterparties, the deal timeline, and every SEC filing — free with an account.
Sign in to continue- 1-for-20·Sep 11, 2023~3 yr ago
- 1-for-40·Jun 23, 2025~1 yr ago
- 1-for-12·Jan 23, 2026~7 mo ago
- ▸1,371,135 pre-funded warrants at $0.00001–$0.001 exercisable on demand (9.99% blockers only) — actively converting, +192,408 shares in the quarter to 2026-08-11
- ▸$2,229,000 at-the-market program with Benchmark Company and StoneX signed 2026-08-18, fully undrawn (~738,079 shares at $3.02)
- ▸1,667,000 October 2025 PIPE warrants carrying a down-round floor-price reset that has already triggered once (from $12.00 to $4.99–$6.84)
- ▸S-3 resale shelf 333-296766 (1,072,900 Misfits shares) effective following the 2026-08-07 legal-opinion amendment
- ▸Blank-check authority to designate and issue up to 6,545,580 preferred shares without a shareholder vote
- ▸Pending Metaplanet/Evo Transactions: 44,859,400 new shares, 100 convertible Strategic Alliance Preferred (ratio undisclosed), 391,000,000 warrant shares, plus a 24-month $210,000,000 junior preferred subscription right
Market Data
$4.03
$6.83M
1.70M
1.64M
7.54M