From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
Effective supply is 2.37x the tradeable float before a single new dollar is raised: 531,328 post-split ADSs of near-zero-strike pre-funded warrants ($0.001–$0.01) sit with Armistice, Intracoastal and RK Stone, all exercisable immediately and all registered for resale since 2026-05-19 — they convert to tape supply at the holders' discretion, throttled only by 4.99%/9.99% blockers that are recycled as fast as they sell. On top of that, the $15.0M Yorkville SEPA prices at 97% of the lowest daily VWAP over a 3-day look-back (a true variable-rate mechanism, 480,000 post-split ADSs registered = 124% of float), and the April 2026 PIPE's 90-day Variable Rate Transaction prohibition lapsed on approximately 2026-08-17 — meaning the ELOC is live again as of this assessment. Recent activity confirms the machine is running: share count grew 306.6% in calendar 2025 (3.41B to 13.87B ordinary), then another 14% by 2026-05-05, with an April 2026 PIPE, a warrant repricing from $6.50 to $0.48, and continuous ELOC draws. Historical pattern is the worst tier: three 1-for-10 reverse splits (2022-11-25, 2024-05-21, 2026-08-21) and a repeat cast of dilutive PIPE/ELOC counterparties. The only mitigating element is that the Series A/B/Inducement/FA warrants (1,113,570 ADSs at $4.80–$5.50) are out-of-the-money versus $3.22 and carry no disclosed price-reset — but this issuer's own history (the January 2024 warrants were repriced from $6.50 to $0.48) shows out-of-the-money strikes get renegotiated downward rather than expiring.
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry (reported_float 387,071.65). Sanity check: the feed's shares_outstanding (3,959,792) is the PRE-split 2026-05-05 cover-page ADS count and is stale; the float figure equals 97.75% of the POST-split outstanding (395,979), so the float field appears already split-adjusted while the outstanding field is not. Reported market cap of $1.16M is internally inconsistent with price x either share count and was disregarded.. Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
Float Discrepancy: our SEC analysis shows 387K vs 691K reported — overstated 78%
Insight Sentry reports float 387,072 alongside shares_outstanding 3,959,792 — an internally inconsistent pairing (9.8% float) that resolves only if the float field is post-1-for-10-split and the outstanding field is the stale pre-split 2026-05-05 cover page. Data services have not yet ingested: (a) the 2026-08-21 1-for-10 reverse split in the outstanding field; (b) any pre-funded warrant exercises...
Reported float + filing adjustments
MEDIUM confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
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Sign in to continue- 1-for-10·Aug 21, 2026this month
- 1-for-10·May 21, 2024~2 yr ago
- 1-for-10·Nov 25, 2022~4 yr ago
- ▸Near-zero-strike pre-funded warrants (531,328 post-split ADSs at $0.001–$0.01) exercisable immediately, resale-registered, held by Armistice/Intracoastal/RK Stone under recycling 4.99%/9.99% blockers
- ▸YA II PN (Yorkville) $15.0M Standby Equity Purchase Agreement — 97% of lowest daily VWAP over a 3-day pricing period; VRT prohibition lapsed approximately 2026-08-17
- ▸480,000 post-split ADSs registered for Yorkville resale under F-1 333-290437 (effective 2025-09-30)
- ▸1,634,404 post-split ADSs registered for PIPE-investor resale under F-3 333-295698 (effective 2026-05-19)
- ▸EIB Preferred Shares — 1,000 shares convertible into 36,400 post-split ADSs at a fixed ratio, no cash payment required, 4.99% blocker
- ▸Serial warrant repricing/inducement practice (January 2024 Warrants cut from $6.50 to $0.48 in April 2026)
- ▸Reverse split resets that restore the runway for further low-priced issuance
Market Data
$1.66
$946.2K
570.0K
690.7K
570.7K