From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
Driven primarily by warrant overhang: a 3,250,000-share Deposit Warrant struck at $1.20 sits ~625% in the money versus the ~$8.70 price and has been registered for resale — that single instrument equals ~46% of the 7.0M float and is highly likely to be exercised and sold. Total pending shares (~7.15M from warrants + Tranche B note) roughly equal the entire float, though most other warrants are 2.3x–46x out of the money and contribute little near-term pressure. Secondary risks: a variable/resettable Tranche B convertible (death-spiral mechanics if price falls), two preferred series with undisclosed conversion terms, a fresh $500M shelf (~6.8x market cap), an active ATM, and a relentless serial-financing cadence (8+ raises since early 2024).
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry (2026-06-12). Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
Reported float + filing adjustments
MEDIUM confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
See the full breakdown
Red flags, financing counterparties, the deal timeline, and every SEC filing — free with an account.
Sign in to continue- 1-for-35·Apr 15, 2025~1 yr ago
- ▸In-the-money 3,250,000-share Deposit Warrant ($1.20 strike), registered for resale
- ▸Variable-rate Tranche B senior secured convertible note (resettable conversion price)
- ▸$500,000,000 S-3 shelf registration (pending effectiveness)
- ▸ATM Sales Agreement program
- ▸Pending S-3 resale registration of 8,664,071 shares
- ▸Two undisclosed-terms preferred series (Series A, Series 1)
Market Data
$6.84
$58.08M
8.49M
7.50M
81.8K