SCLXScilex Holding Co · Nasdaq Capital Market
Effective Supply — the real overhangest.

From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.

7.50M
Reported Float
7.00M
Tradeable Now
(estimated float)
▲ data says 7.50Moverstated 7%
10.60M
Effective Supply
15.64M
Fully Diluted
Dilution risk7/10
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM
ELEVATEDAssessed Jun 12, 2026Trigger: EFFECT registration filingHIGHIn-the-money warrant overhang (registered for resale)HIGHRecently registered shares not yet in float quotes

Driven primarily by warrant overhang: a 3,250,000-share Deposit Warrant struck at $1.20 sits ~625% in the money versus the ~$8.70 price and has been registered for resale — that single instrument equals ~46% of the 7.0M float and is highly likely to be exercised and sold. Total pending shares (~7.15M from warrants + Tranche B note) roughly equal the entire float, though most other warrants are 2.3x–46x out of the money and contribute little near-term pressure. Secondary risks: a variable/resettable Tranche B convertible (death-spiral mechanics if price falls), two preferred series with undisclosed conversion terms, a fresh $500M shelf (~6.8x market cap), an active ATM, and a relentless serial-financing cadence (8+ raises since early 2024).

Share Structure

Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown

LIKELY STALE

Reported float from Insight Sentry (2026-06-12). Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.

Reported Float7.50M48.0%
Convertible Notes347K2.2%
Tranche B Senior Secured Convertible Note (Oramed SPA dated 2024-10-07)
Conv. Price: variable
Est. Shares: ~347K (agent-computed)
Warrants6.80M43.5%
common3.25M shares at $1.2
common1.36M shares at $29
common537K shares at $22.72
common500K shares at $40
common275K shares at $20
common212K shares at $36.4
common199K shares at $402.5
common131K shares at $25.81
common109K shares at $59.5
common100K shares at $20
placement_agent72K shares at $29
placement_agent34K shares at $43.75
common14K shares at $402.5
placement_agent13K shares at $74.38
≈ Estimated Actual Float

Reported float + filing adjustments

7.00M

MEDIUM confidence

Pending Shares as % of Float102.2%

Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.

Fully Diluted15.64M100%

Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.

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Dilution profile
Reverse splits
  • 1-for-35·Apr 15, 2025~1 yr ago
Active mechanisms
  • In-the-money 3,250,000-share Deposit Warrant ($1.20 strike), registered for resale
  • Variable-rate Tranche B senior secured convertible note (resettable conversion price)
  • $500,000,000 S-3 shelf registration (pending effectiveness)
  • ATM Sales Agreement program
  • Pending S-3 resale registration of 8,664,071 shares
  • Two undisclosed-terms preferred series (Series A, Series 1)

Market Data

Price

$6.84

Market Cap

$58.08M

Outstanding

8.49M

Float

7.50M

Avg Volume

81.8K

Exchange: NASDAQ|Source: Insight Sentry