From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
Pure supply mechanics: 2.41M shares of float against 13.68M unexercised derivative shares (568% of float). The dominant, immediately actionable slug is 3,656,000 pre-funded warrants struck at $0.0001 — functionally already-issued stock at zero cost, exercisable now, registered for resale since 7/8/2026, and equal to 152% of the entire float. That single instrument is the definition of massive in-the-money warrant overhang. Layered on top: share count already grew 17.1% in three months (5/7→8/6) and 76.2% over twelve months, driven by two financings in six months (Jan 2026 inducement, June 2026 PIPE) with the same counterparties recycling reset warrants. Two prior reverse splits (1-for-20, 1-for-40) and a third proposed (1-for-2 to 1-for-10, on the 9/10/2026 ballot) confirm a repeating dilute-and-consolidate cycle. Mitigants that keep this off a 9-10: there are no convertible notes, no preferred stock outstanding, no ELOC and no ATM; the $0.91/$1.2875/$2.325 options are all out of the money at $0.53 and carry no reset or floating-price mechanism; and the company is contractually barred from Variable Rate Transactions until June 2027.
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry (NASDAQ:RKDA), price $0.53, implied market cap $1.28M. Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
Reported float + filing adjustments
HIGH confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
See the full breakdown
Red flags, financing counterparties, the deal timeline, and every SEC filing — free with an account.
Sign in to continue- 1-for-20·Jan 24, 2018~9 yr ago
- 1-for-40·Mar 1, 2023~4 yr ago
- ▸3,656,000 pre-funded warrants at $0.0001 — exercisable now, registered, cashless-capable, no expiration (PRIMARY)
- ▸3,883,496 Series A-2 preferred investment options at $0.91 — exercisable now, registered, OTM at $0.53
- ▸3,883,496 Series A-1 preferred investment options at $0.91 — unlock on stockholder approval scheduled 2026-09-10
- ▸1,617,190 January 2026 investment options at $2.325 — exercisable now, registered, deep OTM
- ▸328,347 H.C. Wainwright placement agent options across four vintages ($1.2875 to $52.80)
- ▸9.99% beneficial ownership blocker mechanics forcing sell-then-exercise cycling by Armistice
- ▸Proposed 1-for-2 to 1-for-10 reverse split (board discretion through 2027-06-30) that would reset the option/warrant ladder and enable a fresh dilution cycle at a higher nominal price
Market Data
$0.48
$1.16M
2.41M
2.41M
69.0K