From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
The single dominant fact is the Roth Principal Investments $25,000,000 equity line, effective and commenced 2026-07-14, priced at VWAP less a fixed 3.0%/5.0% discount with a $0.50 threshold price — a floating-price mechanism against a float of ~15.0M shares and an $9.0M market cap. The company's own Proposal No. 5 dilution table concedes 41,666,666 shares at $0.60 (73.4% of post-issuance outstanding) and 31,250,000 at $0.80. With the stock at $0.5961, the facility is worth roughly 2.8x the entire current float in new shares. The 3,004,114-share Exchange Cap (19.99%) is the only near-term brake, and management has expressly placed a proposal before shareholders to remove it, warning it would permit 'a substantially greater number of shares at a lower price per share, resulting in materially greater dilution.' Recent issuance activity is severe and continuous: 4,821,624 ATM shares sold in H1 2026 alone, with shares outstanding up from 6,171,040 (2025-08-08) to 15,064,476 (2026-08-07) — a 144% twelve-month expansion. Offsetting factors that keep this at 9 rather than 10: there are zero convertible notes and zero convertible preferred outstanding, the ATM is nearly exhausted ($670K remaining), all 7.78M warrants are deeply out of the money (lowest strike $1.25 vs $0.5961 — over 2x above market) with no reset or anti-dilution repricing disclosed, and the ELOC is company-optional rather than holder-triggered. The warrant overhang is therefore near-zero risk today; the score is driven almost entirely by the ELOC and the demonstrated 144% issuance cadence.
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry (as-of date unknown). Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
Reported float + filing adjustments
HIGH confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
See the full breakdown
Red flags, financing counterparties, the deal timeline, and every SEC filing — free with an account.
Sign in to continue- 1-for-40·Jan 3, 2024~3 yr ago
- 1-for-20·Aug 28, 2019~7 yr ago
- 1-for-10·Feb 16, 2017~10 yr ago
- ▸$25,000,000 Roth Principal Investments ELOC — VWAP less 3.0% (Market Open/Intraday) or 5.0% (Pre/Post-Market), $0.50 threshold price, 36-month term, commenced 2026-07-14
- ▸31,750,000 shares registered for Roth resale under effective S-1 333-297259
- ▸Ladenburg Thalmann ATM — $670,000 remaining, sales at prevailing market prices, baby-shelf limited
- ▸Pending stockholder vote (Proposal No. 5) to remove the 3,004,114-share Exchange Cap on the ELOC
- ▸Pending stockholder vote (Proposal No. 3) to add 1,500,000 shares to the 2019 Stock Incentive Plan (9.9% of outstanding)
- ▸S-3 shelf 333-280798 remains effective for further primary issuance, capped by I.B.6 at one-third of ~$6.34M public float
- ▸Nasdaq bid-price deficiency with reverse split expressly contemplated as the cure mechanism
Market Data
$0.55
$8.30M
15.09M
15.04M
321.8K