OBAIOur Bond, Inc. · NASDAQ Global Market
Effective Supply — the real overhang

From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.

18.02M
Reported Float
18.02M
Tradeable Now
(estimated float)
18.66M
Effective Supply
72.77M
Fully Diluted
Dilution risk8/10
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM
HIGHAssessed Aug 29, 2026Trigger: ReassessmentCRITICALVariable-rate equity line with downward true-up (death-spiral mechanics)CRITICALRapid share count growth / active ELOC issuance

Float supply is being actively manufactured. The dominant mechanism is a $50.0M variable-rate equity line with Ascent priced at 96% of the LOWEST 10-day VWAP plus a post-closing true-up that forces issuance of ADDITIONAL shares if the price falls after settlement — a self-reinforcing dilution loop, and it is already drawn (5,467,310 shares for $4,160,242). Shares outstanding grew 22.5% in the single quarter to 2026-08-14 and 115.7% since 2025-12-31. Series G Preferred (366,941 shares, $3.3M) carries a full-ratchet-style conversion reset on below-price issuances — and ELOC draws at ~$0.35 are 82% below its $2.0265 conversion price, meaning the ratchet mechanics point at a conversion share count many multiples of the nominal 1,203,275. Series C and D were themselves already repriced (D from $12.35 to $2.0265, an 84% cut). Counting against the score: the 9,000,000 remaining warrants are struck at $1.25-$2.25 versus a $0.3592 tape, 3.5x-6.3x out of the money, and 14.9M options carry a $1.04 WAEP — nominally low near-term exercise risk. But this issuer has repriced Ascent's warrants three times in four months (March 1, May 4, June 11), so 'out of the money' has repeatedly proven to be a temporary condition here, and 16.3M warrants were simply cancelled and reissued at lower strikes. Not a 9-10 only because the largest single overhang (14.8M legacy B-series preferred) is held by non-trading venture/insider holders and the warrant strip is currently deep OTM.

Share Structure

Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown

LIKELY STALE

Reported float from Insight Sentry (NASDAQ:OBAI). Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.

Reported Float18.02M24.8%
Convertible Notes158.39M217.6%
Equity Line SPA with Ascent Partners Fund LLC — variable-rate at-market equity line, priced at 96% of the LOWEST VWAP over the 10 trading days prior to closing, WITH a post-closing true-up that forces issuance of additional shares if 96% of the lowest VWAP in the 10 trading days AFTER closing is lower. Floor price = 20% of the April 8, 2026 opening reference price.
Conv. Price: floating_discount
Est. Shares: ~132.95M (fixed)
Loan and Security Agreement (Eastward Fund Management), as amended through 27th Amendment — remaining balance after August 2025 50% conversion
Conv. Price: unknown
Est. Shares: ~23.56M (estimate)
Unsecured Convertible Revolving Promissory Note — related party (main shareholder), rate = Applicable Federal Rate
Conv. Price: unknown
Est. Shares: ~672K (estimate)
Promissory Notes to Ascent ($2,500,000 issued 2026-03-01 and $1,000,000 issued 2026-05-04) — RETIRED, exchanged 2026-06-11 for 366,941 Series G Preferred
Conv. Price: fixed
Est. Shares: ~1.20M (agent-computed)
Warrants1.02M1.4%
common3.00M shares at $1.25
common1.50M shares at $1.25
common4.50M shares at $2.25
common7.57M shares
common741K shares at $0.4875
common-15,991,902 shares at $12.35
common-300,000 shares at $3.2475
Options / RSUs14.91M20.5%
Stock Options14.91M shares
≈ Estimated Actual Float

Reported float + filing adjustments

18.02M

MEDIUM confidence

Pending Shares as % of Float237.5%

Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.

Fully Diluted72.77M100%

Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.

See the full breakdown

Red flags, financing counterparties, the deal timeline, and every SEC filing — free with an account.

Sign in to continue
Dilution profile
Reverse splits
  • 1-for-3·Sep 19, 2025~12 mo ago
Active mechanisms
  • $50.0M equity line of credit with Ascent Partners Fund LLC — 96% of lowest 10-day VWAP with post-closing downward true-up (variable-rate, actively drawn)
  • Series G Convertible Preferred with full-ratchet-style conversion price reset on below-price issuances
  • Series C and Series D Convertible Preferred at $2.0265 with 8% dividends payable in stock at company option
  • Serial warrant repricing — 9,000,000 Ascent warrants repriced three times between 2026-03-01 and 2026-06-11
  • Pending S-1 (filed 2026-07-17) registering 10,000,000 additional resale shares
  • 14,912,962 options outstanding at $1.04 WAEP with 7,589,660 granted in a single quarter
  • Legacy Series B-1/B-2/B-3 preferred (~14.8M as-converted) converting into common on a rolling basis

Market Data

Price

$0.32

Market Cap

$9.46M

Outstanding

29.98M

Float

18.02M

Avg Volume

7.21M

Exchange: NASDAQ|Source: Insight Sentry