From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
There are NO convertible notes and NO preferred stock outstanding, which removes the single largest driver of the score (0/10 on the 40% weight). The risk is concentrated in three places. First, a resale F-1 filed 2026-07-10 registers 3,871,000 shares — 101% of the 3.83M tradeable float — comprising 2,280,000 issued-but-restricted shares held by investors who paid $0.25 in April 2026 (a ~4x paper gain at $1.02) plus 1,591,000 warrant shares; effectiveness alone adds ~60% to the free-trading float from holders with an overwhelming incentive to sell. Second, the 1,480,000 Investor Warrants ($2.00, 39% of float) carry FULL RATCHET anti-dilution plus a Share Combination Event VWAP reset — although nominally 2x out-of-the-money at $1.02, any subsequent issuance at a lower price mechanically resets the strike downward, converting them into at-market paper; given the company priced its last two raises at $2.00 and the stock is now at $1.02, the next raise almost certainly triggers the ratchet. Third, the issuance cadence is extreme: five separate financings in nine months (Nov 2025 $15M PIPE, Dec 2025 $100M ATM that sold 222.6M pre-split shares for $20.6M, April 2026 $0.25 PIPE, June 10 and June 18 registered directs nine days apart), with the split-adjusted Class A count going from 101,275 at 2025-12-31 to ~7,639,410 today — a ~7,443% increase in seven months. Mitigating factors that keep this off 9-10: the ATM was terminated 2026-06-08 with $79.4M unused, the F-3 shelf is now baby-shelf-constrained to roughly $2.1M per rolling 12 months against a ~$6.2M non-affiliate float value (and trailing sales have largely consumed that), there is no floating-conversion instrument in the structure, and the warrants require cash at prices above market today.
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry (NASDAQ:MTEN). Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
Float Discrepancy: our SEC analysis shows 3.83M vs 6.11M reported — overstated 60%
Insight Sentry's 6,109,366 is 59.5% HIGHER than our tradeable-float estimate. The feed is impressively current — it is post-1-for-200-split and already includes both June 2026 registered directs and full pre-funded warrant exercise — but it mirrors the SEC 'held by non-affiliates' definition, which includes the 2,280,000 restricted, unregistered Class A shares issued to the April 2026 PIPE investo...
Reported float + filing adjustments
MEDIUM confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
See the full breakdown
Red flags, financing counterparties, the deal timeline, and every SEC filing — free with an account.
Sign in to continue- 1-for-200·Jan 26, 2026~7 mo ago
- ▸Resale F-1 filed 2026-07-10 covering 3,871,000 shares (101% of tradeable float) — pending effectiveness
- ▸1,480,000 Investor Warrants at $2.00 with FULL RATCHET anti-dilution and Share Combination Event VWAP reset (repricing mechanism, effectively floating-strike on any future down-round)
- ▸111,000 Placement Agent Warrants at $2.40 (FT Global), cashless exercise, FINRA lock-up expires ~2026-12-15
- ▸F-3 shelf No. 333-287843 with ~$74.2M nominal capacity remaining (baby-shelf limited to ~1/3 of a ~$6.2M non-affiliate float value per rolling 12 months)
- ▸Demonstrated willingness to price registered directs at 40%+ discounts to market with warrant kickers, roughly every 1-2 months
- ▸2,280,000 restricted April 2026 PIPE shares at a $0.25 cost basis becoming Rule 144 eligible ~2026-10-21 if the F-1 stalls
- ▸Authorized share capital increased 2026-05-29 to 998,000,000 Class A / 2,000,000 Class B with par value cut to $0.000005 — removes any structural ceiling on further issuance
Market Data
$1.04
$7.96M
7.65M
6.11M
6.70M