From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
Textbook maximum-risk supply structure. (1) CONVERTIBLES: a single lender group (ATW) holds four senior secured convertible instruments with variable/alternate conversion pricing and resettable floors, plus an open $586,000,000 undrawn facility against an $840,281 market cap — a 697x ratio. Critically, the lender holds a BUYER'S OPTION CLOSING, meaning ATW can force the company to issue more convertible paper regardless of price. Disclosed conversion shares alone total 113,769,665,507 Class A ordinary shares (~388,955 current ADS-equivalents = 55% of the float) computed at floor prices that the parties have shown a willingness to reset. (2) WARRANTS: 88,692,187,500 underlying Class A shares (~303,221 ADS-equivalents = 43% of float), and the Series H/I/J/K blocks demonstrably received 50x anti-dilution ratchets between grant and the December 2025 prospectus — these are functionally floating-strike warrants, and Series K (85,537 ADS-equivalents) prices out near the money. Every series is described as 'and its amendments,' confirming a serial repricing history. (3) RECENT ACTIVITY: continuous. Split-adjusted ADS-equivalent outstanding rose from ~56,118 to 922,879 in eight months (+1,545%), a December 5 2025 note closed, a fresh 1-for-9 reverse split hit two weeks ago on 2026-07-14, and the largest reported holder is unwinding on the tape right now. (4) HISTORY: four reverse splits since July 2023 (1:50, 1:50, 1:13, 1:9 = cumulative 1-for-292,500), ATW Partners as the sole financier, and 75% of every draw contractually diverted into HYPE/SOL/SUI tokens pledged to that same lender. No component of this score reflects fundamentals — this is purely supply mechanics.
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry (NASDAQ:LGHL) — 711,571 ADSs. Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
Reported float + filing adjustments
MEDIUM confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
See the full breakdown
Red flags, financing counterparties, the deal timeline, and every SEC filing — free with an account.
Sign in to continue- 1-for-9·Jul 14, 2026this month
- 1-for-13·Nov 26, 2025~8 mo ago
- 1-for-50·Mar 26, 2025~1 yr ago
- 1-for-50·Jul 13, 2023~3 yr ago
- ▸Variable-rate senior secured convertible notes (June/July/December 2025) with resettable floor prices and an 'Alternate Conversion Price' — death spiral
- ▸$586,000,000 of undrawn convertible note capacity exercisable at the LENDER's option (Buyer's Option Closing), not just the company's
- ▸Effective F-3 resale shelf 333-289794 — 14,580,732,500 Class A shares free-trading on issuance to ATW
- ▸4.99% ownership blocker that forces convert-and-dump cycling rather than limiting total issuance
- ▸Warrant blocks with demonstrated 50x anti-dilution ratchets (Series H/I/J/K) that reprice on each dilutive event
- ▸12% PIK interest option — interest payable in ADSs, adding shares without any new financing
- ▸Serial ADS ratio changes (marketed as reverse splits) that reset the conversion runway without reducing underlying ordinary shares
Market Data
$0.91
$840.3K
922.9K
711.6K
8.90M