From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
Supply mechanics only: JUNS is running an actively-drawn, variable-rate Yorkville SEPA that prices at 97% of the LOWEST daily VWAP over a 3-day window — a floorless at-market mechanism. Between 2026-05-14 and 2026-07-24 alone the company issued 11,470,000 pre-split shares (152,933 post-split, ~36% of estimated current float) for only $3.6M gross, and cumulative SEPA issuance reached ~12.5M pre-split shares for ~$4.1M net. Roughly $15.4M of the $20M SEPA remains undrawn, which at $5.10 post-split equates to ~3.1M post-split shares versus ~753,600 shares outstanding — more than 4x the entire company. On top of that, ~$1.5M of Yorkville Convertible Notes remain outstanding with price-protection adjustments and an explicit expectation of repayment in discounted SEPA Shares (~303,000 post-split shares at current price, more as price falls), maturing 2026-10-24. The 2026-07-20 PharmAla license adds a VWAP RESET ratchet: if the reset VWAP prints below the initial issuance price, JUNS must issue additional Reset Shares with NO downward adjustment ever — a one-way dilution spiral capped only at 19.99% of outstanding absent shareholder approval. Offsetting this: zero warrants outstanding, zero preferred outstanding, and all 15.2M pre-split options are catastrophically out-of-the-money post-split (WAEP $1.02 pre-split = $76.50 post-split vs. $5.10), so the warrant/option component contributes essentially nothing. Score of 9 rather than 10 reflects that warrant overhang is genuinely zero; everything else is maxed.
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry reported float 14,686,521 — SANITY CHECK FAILED at face value: price ($5.10) is post-split but the feed's shares_outstanding (56,520,150) exactly matches the PRE-split 2026-07-28 8-K count, and $5.10 × 14,686,521 = $74.9M vs. reported market cap of only $4.24M. The float figure is therefore pre-split and has been divided by 75 → 195,820 post-split baseline.. Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
11,470,000 pre-split shares (152,933 post-split) issued and sold to Yorkville under SEPA Advance Notices between 2026-05-14 and 2026-07-24 for ~$3.6M gross at 97% of lowest 3-day VWAP — issued unregistered under 4(a)(2)/506(b) but covered for resale by the effective S-1 (333-291832) via Prospectus Supplements 9 and 10; Yorkville resells into the market, so these are free-trading supply the stale feed does not capture
Source: Form 8-K filed 2026-07-28, Item 3.02/8.01
Estimated ~5,901,382 additional pre-split shares (78,685 post-split) issued to Yorkville between 2026-07-28 and the 2026-08-06 reverse split — derived from the gap between the confirmed 56,520,143 pre-split count and the ~832,287 post-split count implied by Insight Sentry market cap ($4,244,663) ÷ price ($5.10)
Source: Implied — Insight Sentry market cap/price reconciliation vs. 8-K 2026-07-28
Reported float + filing adjustments
MEDIUM confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
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Sign in to continue- 1-for-75·Aug 6, 2026this month
- ▸Yorkville SEPA / ELOC — $20M capacity, ~$15.4M remaining, priced at 97% of the LOWEST daily VWAP over a 3-consecutive-trading-day pricing period (variable-rate, effectively floorless)
- ▸Yorkville Convertible Notes — ~$1.5M principal remaining, stated $1.50 pre-split conversion ($112.50 post-split) but with price-protection adjustments to a contractual floor and expected settlement in discounted SEPA Shares; matures 2026-10-24
- ▸Effective S-1 resale registration No. 333-291832 (effective 2025-12-11) with 10 prospectus supplements — makes every Yorkville share immediately free-trading
- ▸PharmAla Biotech Equity Consideration — $1,833,333 in stock at 20-day VWAP with a one-way Reset Share ratchet (additional shares issued if reset VWAP falls; NEVER adjusted downward), floored at $0.0345 pre-split, capped at 19.99% of outstanding pending stockholder approval
- ▸PharmAla contingent milestone shares — up to $3,333,333 of the first development milestone payable 50% in stock at PharmAla's election under the same VWAP mechanics
- ▸2025 Equity Incentive Plan — 5,250,000 pre-split share increase approved 2026-07-22 on top of 6,091,593 already available
- ▸Monthly note amortization payable in shares (deferred to 2026-04-01 by the Omnibus Amendment), with SEPA proceeds contractually required to repay the notes first
Market Data
$6.20
$4.37M
770.1K
485.3K
5.30M