From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
Pending share supply of ~5.6M against a ~4.4M tradeable float (127%) sits behind two variable-priced mechanisms, which is what drives the score. (1) The Lincoln Park equity line prices at 95% of the LOWER of the day's lowest sale price and the average of the three lowest closes over the prior ten sessions — a permanent at-or-below-market issuance channel, live for 24 months from March 2025, with a 1,881,328-share Exchange Cap (~43% of float) that binds because the stock at $0.5579 is far below the $1.29 average-price carve-out; the $0.25 floor price is not yet breached, so draws remain available. (2) The May 2024 notes (~AUD$1.0M) convert at a fixed 22% discount to market — a classic ratchet where a lower price yields more shares, worth ~1.49M shares at current levels, roughly a third of the float. Offsetting these: the only warrants outstanding are 91,000 Benchmark warrants at $5.00, nearly 9x above market with no reset language — effectively zero warrant risk — and the February 2025 notes at a fixed USD$2.00 are ~3.6x out of the money. Recent activity is elevated (commitment shares issued, notes converted, equity line commenced, all within a six-month window), and the historical pattern is textbook serial financing: five separate note offerings between Oct 2023 and Feb 2025 plus an IPO. Not scored 8-10 because the largest single block (3,825,000 unissued Lincoln Park shares) is throttled by a 25,000-share/day purchase cap and cannot be dumped into the float at once.
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry (as-of date unknown; feed's shares outstanding of 10,711,059 matches the 2024-11-13 XBRL cover figure, i.e. the feed is stale by roughly one reporting cycle). Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
175,000 commitment shares issued to Lincoln Park Capital Fund as the equity-line fee; registered for resale under 333-288442 and therefore free-trading
Source: 424B3 filed 2025-08-29 (Purchase Agreement dated 2025-03-13)
~249,700 shares issued on the March 2025 noteholder-elected conversion of AUD$822,184 (~USD$534,420) at USD$2.14; issued restricted but Rule 144 holding period has long since run as of the assessment date, so treated as free-trading
Source: 424B3 filed 2025-08-29
Lincoln Park equity-line draws between the 2025-08-29 prospectus date and the assessment date — mechanically certain to be non-zero given the company's cash position, but no subsequent prospectus supplements or cover-page updates were provided, so no share count can be booked. This is the single largest source of understatement in the estimate below.
Source: None available in extraction set
Reported float + filing adjustments
LOW confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
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Sign in to continue- ▸Lincoln Park $12M equity line of credit — variable pricing at 95% of the lowest of recent lows, 24-month term running to March 2027, 4,000,000 shares registered for resale
- ▸May 2024 convertible notes convertible at a 22% discount to market (floating-price ratchet)
- ▸February 2025 convertible notes, up to AUD$1,500,000 authorized with only ~AUD$580,000 drawn — remaining ~AUD$920,000 issuable at 20% coupon
- ▸October 2023 / February 2024 convertible notes with undisclosed residual balances and convert-or-redeem elections
- ▸91,000 underwriter warrants at $5.00 (deep out of the money)
Market Data
$0.70
$8.96M
10.71M
3.98M
7.18M