FLYEFly-E Group, Inc. · Nasdaq Capital Market
Effective Supply — the real overhang

From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.

1.56M
Reported Float
1.56M
Tradeable Now
(estimated float)
1.56M
Effective Supply
1.63M
Fully Diluted
Dilution risk4/10
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM
MODERATEAssessed Aug 10, 2026Trigger: Scheduled refreshCRITICALReverse split history / pending third reverse splitHIGHRapid share count growth / serial financing cadence

Scored purely on pending share supply, not on the company's condition. CONVERTIBLES/PREFERREDS (40% weight) = near zero: no convertible notes on the balance sheet (10-Q anti-dilutive potential shares = 1,294 total), zero preferred outstanding, no variable-rate or floating-discount mechanism anywhere in the filings. The DEF 14A's generic 'outstanding convertible notes' reference is unsupported boilerplate. WARRANT OVERHANG (30% weight) = near zero: the only live warrants are 1,294 Representative's Warrants at a $400 strike against a $1.73 tape — 231x out of the money, no reset or anti-dilution repricing disclosed, and they represent 0.08% of float even if exercised. The 571,912 dilutive 2025 Warrants are already gone (fully cashless-exercised into 410,982 shares before 2025-12-31) and are baked into the current count. RECENT ACTIVITY (20% weight) = elevated historically but currently dormant: the company raised $6.9M (June 2025 registered direct) and $11.0M (September 2025 PIPE, 687,500 shares = 42% of today's outstanding) within a four-month window, but XBRL share_count_delta shows ZERO new shares issued from 2025-12-18 through 2026-07-23 — three consecutive cover dates at 1,632,386. Issuance has been frozen for eight months. HISTORICAL PATTERN (10% weight) = maximum: two reverse splits in four months (1-for-5 July 2025, 1-for-20 November 2025 = 100:1 cumulative), a third authorized June 17, 2026 at up to 1-for-100, plus a 72.8% APR Agile Capital merchant-cash-advance loan — a classic distressed-issuer profile. The structure TODAY is clean of toxic conversion machinery, which caps the score in the middle of the range; the score is not lower because the shelf-less, cash-less issuer has an authorized-share runway of 300M against 1.6M outstanding and a demonstrated ~4-month financing cadence, making a new dilutive raise the most likely next corporate action even though no instrument exists to price it today.

Share Structure

Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown

LIKELY STALE

Reported float from Insight Sentry (NASDAQ:FLYE) — 1,555,386 shares. Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.

Reported Float1.56M95.2%
Other1K0.1%
Warrants1K shares
≈ Estimated Actual Float

Reported float + filing adjustments

1.56M

MEDIUM confidence

Pending Shares as % of Float0.08%

Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.

Fully Diluted1.63M100%

Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.

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Dilution profile
Reverse splits (4)
  • 1:110000 FORWARD split (pre-IPO recapitalization, not dilutive)·Apr 2, 2024~2 yr ago
  • 1-for-5·Jul 3, 2025~1 yr ago
  • 1-for-20·Nov 4, 2025~10 mo ago
  • 1:5 to 1:100 (board discretion)·
Active mechanisms
  • None currently live — no convertible notes, no preferred, no ELOC/SEPA, no ATM, no effective shelf with remaining capacity
  • Latent: 298.4M authorized-but-unissued common shares (300M authorized vs 1.63M outstanding) available for a future raise without shareholder action
  • Latent: board-authorized reverse split (1-for-5 to 1-for-100) executable at any time through 2027-06-17 — mechanically reduces share count but historically precedes a fresh issuance cycle at this issuer
  • Latent: 1,294 Representative's Warrants at $400 (cashless exercise permitted, expiring 2029-06-07) — immaterial at 0.08% of float

Market Data

Price

$1.36

Market Cap

$3.03M

Outstanding

1.63M

Float

1.56M

Avg Volume

6.9K

Exchange: NASDAQ|Source: Insight Sentry
FLYE Float & Dilution Analysis | ShareStructure.io