EPOWE-Power Inc. · Nasdaq Capital Market
Effective Supply — the real overhang

From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.

38.14M
Reported Float
48.74M
Tradeable Now
(estimated float)
▲ data says 38.14Munderstated 28%
48.74M
Effective Supply
69.90M
Fully Diluted
Dilution risk6/10
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM
ELEVATEDAssessed Jul 31, 2026Trigger: EFFECT registration filingCRITICALUndocumented float expansionHIGHSerial discounted primary issuance

There are NO variable-rate or death-spiral convertibles, no preferred stock, and no ELOC. The only true conversion overhang is 6,567,272 Class B shares convertible 1:1 into Class A at holder option with automatic conversion on transfer to a non-affiliate — 13.5% of float, ungated by price, but affiliate-held super-voting stock that is unlikely to be dumped wholesale. Warrant overhang is negligible: 3,500,000 at $0.80 versus $0.4225 last price (89% out of the money), no reset or ratchet, expiring 2026-11-19. What drives the score is realized and near-term issuance: non-affiliate Class A went from 22,161,978 (2025-10-02) to 21,066,439 (2026-05-20, post-affiliate-reclassification) to 48,740,598 (2026-07-23), and shares outstanding are up ~138% year over year. Management has priced four raises in eleven months, three of them self-underwritten registered directs at $0.55 into $1.32-$1.40 markets (58-61% discounts). Forward primary capacity is real but capped: with $24.8M non-affiliate market value the Form F-3 I.B.5 baby-shelf limit is ~$8.27M per 12 months, roughly $4.1M of which remains after $4.18M of trailing-12-month takedowns — about 9.7M shares at $0.4225, or 20% of float. A fresh $200M F-3 was filed 2026-07-24 (still baby-shelf constrained). Scoring stops short of 8-10 because there is no active toxic conversion machine relative to float; it exceeds 4 because the issuer demonstrably issues stock at deep discounts every few months and has explicitly flagged a reverse split before the 2026-11-16 Nasdaq bid-price deadline, the classic setup for a post-split re-dilution cycle.

Share Structure

Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown

LIKELY STALE

Reported float from Insight Sentry (as-of date unknown; reported shares outstanding 54,570,838, price $0.4225, market cap $23.06M). Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.

Float Discrepancy: our SEC analysis shows 48.74M vs 38.14M reported — understated 28%

The Insight Sentry float of 38,135,212 understates real free-trading supply by ~10.6M shares (28%). The feed also reports 54,570,838 shares outstanding — internally impossible, since that is LESS than the issuer's own stated Class A non-affiliate count (48,740,598) plus Class B (6,567,272) plus any affiliate Class A. The feed has missed the share expansion between the 2026-05-22 424B5 and the 2026...

Reported Float38.14M54.6%
Float Adjustments10.61M15.2%
+10.61M sharesHIGH

Reconcile stale feed float to issuer-certified non-affiliate Class A count on the F-3 cover page (48,740,598 as of 2026-07-23) — the feed has not yet captured the ~27.7M share expansion in non-affiliate Class A between 2026-05-20 (21,066,439) and 2026-07-23

Source: F-3 filed 2026-07-24, cover page public float calculation

0 sharesHIGH

Component already inside the reconciliation above (itemized, not additive): 3,600,000 Class A issued in the self-underwritten $0.55 takedown delivered on/about 2026-05-26

Source: 424B5 filed 2026-05-22

0 sharesMEDIUM

Component already inside the reconciliation above (itemized, not additive): 7,000,000 Reg S PIPE Class A issued 2025-11-19 now past the distribution compliance period and free-trading

Source: 424B5 filed 2026-05-22 — financing transactions

Convertible Notes6.57M9.4%
Class B ordinary shares — convertible at holder option 1-for-1 into Class A at any time; AUTOMATICALLY converts 1-for-1 upon any transfer to a non-affiliate (i.e., a sale mechanically creates free-trading Class A)
Conv. Price: fixed
Est. Shares: ~6.57M (agent-computed)
Warrants3.50M5.0%
common3.50M shares at $0.8
≈ Estimated Actual Float

Reported float + filing adjustments

48.74M

MEDIUM confidence

Pending Shares as % of Float40.6%

Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.

Fully Diluted69.90M100%

Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.

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Dilution profile
Reverse splits
  • not disclosed — filings state all share amounts give retroactive effect to prior share consolidations, the last effected 2020-04-24·Apr 24, 2020~6 yr ago
Active mechanisms
  • Form F-3 primary shelf takedowns via self-underwritten registered directs priced at deep discounts to market (three in twelve months)
  • New $200M F-3 filed 2026-07-24 with $195.82M carry-forward, replacing the shelf expiring 2026-08-09
  • Class B to Class A 1:1 conversion, automatic on transfer to non-affiliate (6,567,272 shares)
  • Regulation S offshore placements to unnamed purchasers (bypasses registration, restricted stock seasons into the float)
  • Contemplated reverse share split before 2026-11-16 to cure the Nasdaq minimum bid price deficiency

Market Data

Price

$0.45

Market Cap

$29.10M

Outstanding

54.57M

Float

38.14M

Avg Volume

5.30M

Exchange: NASDAQ|Source: Insight Sentry