From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
Score is driven almost entirely by warrant overhang and issuance velocity, not by any convertible or preferred instrument — there are zero convertible notes and zero preferred shares outstanding, so that 40% component scores near zero. What replaces it: 4,595,140 warrants outstanding against a 3.17M float (145% of float), of which the 491,000 remaining pre-funded warrants at $0.0001 are deeply in the money and exercisable on demand with an effective resale registration, and 960,000 Series C-2 warrants at $3.00 are immediately exercisable and registered. At the $1.75 market price the $3.00 Series C/$3.9063 PA warrants are ~71-123% out of the money and the $4.50 Series B and $10.60 2025 warrants are 157-506% out of the money, which meaningfully caps near-term exercise pressure from those tranches — but the anti-dilution and repricing history here is the tell: the November 2024 warrants at $16.50 were repriced to $4.50 in April 2026, a 73% cut. This issuer has demonstrated it will reprice out-of-the-money paper downward rather than let it expire, which converts 'far OTM' overhang into near-the-money overhang on demand. Recent activity scores very high: outstanding grew 24.4% in a single quarter (2026-05-06 to 2026-08-13) and 115% over twelve months, with four separate financings in nine months (Dec 2025 registered direct, Q1 2026 ATM, April 2026 inducement, July 2026 PIPE). Historical pattern adds a 1-for-15 reverse split in August 2024 and a single dominant counterparty (Armistice Capital) working through a single placement agent (H.C. Wainwright) on repeat. The PIPE's one-year variable-rate prohibition is the one genuine mitigant — it blocks a death-spiral structure until July 2027 — and the ATM restriction lapses ~2026-09-18.
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry (NASDAQ:CVKD). Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
Reported float + filing adjustments
MEDIUM confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
See the full breakdown
Red flags, financing counterparties, the deal timeline, and every SEC filing — free with an account.
Sign in to continue- 1-for-15·Aug 20, 2024~2 yr ago
- ▸491,000 remaining pre-funded warrants at $0.0001 — exercisable on demand, resale-registered, economically already stock
- ▸960,000 Series C-2 warrants at $3.00 — immediately exercisable, resale registration effective 2026-07-20
- ▸960,000 Series C-1 warrants at $3.00 — become exercisable on stockholder approval at the 2026-09-24 annual meeting (Nasdaq 5635(d) proposal)
- ▸ATM facility with H.C. Wainwright (3.0% commission) — usable again beginning ~2026-09-18 after the 60-day PIPE standstill lapses
- ▸1,142,860 Series B-1/B-2 warrants at $4.50 — resale-registered, currently OTM but subject to repricing precedent
- ▸414,748 2025 Common Warrants at $10.60 — resale-registered, deep OTM
- ▸Warrant inducement/repricing playbook — demonstrated twice (Nov 2024, April 2026); converts OTM paper into cash plus fresh replacement warrants
- ▸7,500,000 authorized blank-check preferred, zero issued — Board may designate a convertible series without stockholder approval
- ▸2022 Plan evergreen provision — annual January 1 increase to 20% of (shares outstanding plus warrant/pre-funded warrant shares outstanding at December 31)
Market Data
$1.19
$4.25M
3.57M
3.17M
2.35M