BJDXBluejay Diagnostics, Inc. · NASDAQ Capital Market
Effective Supply — the real overhang

From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.

4.34M
Reported Float
4.34M
Tradeable Now
(estimated float)
4.56M
Effective Supply
13.77M
Fully Diluted
Dilution risk4/10
CONFIDENCE: HIGH
MODERATEAssessed Aug 29, 2026Trigger: ReassessmentCRITICALRapid share count growthHIGHRecently registered resale shares

The dilution has already HAPPENED rather than being pending. Share count went from 1,034,715 (2026-05-04) to 4,468,051 (2026-08-07) — a 331.8% increase — as the June 2026 PIPE's pre-funded warrants were exercised and sold into the tape; that supply is now in the float and priced in. What remains actionable is small: 222,581 residual pre-funded warrants at $0.0001 (5.1% of float). There are ZERO convertible notes, ZERO preferred stock, ZERO ELOC and ZERO ATM — the 40% convertible/preferred component scores 0. The 9.08M remaining common warrants are the headline number (209% of float) but 7.57M of them strike at $2.075/$2.9063 against a $0.90 tape (2.3x–3.2x above market) and the rest at $7.00–$320,000; per calibration, warrants 2x+ out of the money are near-zero near-term risk and there are no price-reset or full-ratchet provisions disclosed on the Series G/H. Score is driven by the 20% recent-activity component (extreme: four raises in 15 months, $8.5M PIPE closed June 2026) and the 10% historical component (maxed: four reverse splits aggregating 1-for-32,000, warrant repricing precedent from $392 → $65.20 → $13.68, and a repeat cast of dilution-financing funds). The upside risk to this score is asymmetric: a move back above $2.075 makes 7,567,748 registered shares immediately exercisable and sellable — 174% of current float — and management's demonstrated willingness to reprice warrants (Class C, twice) means a stock that stays at $0.90 could see Series G/H repriced down into the money as an inducement raise.

Share Structure

Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown

LIKELY STALE

Reported float from Insight Sentry (NASDAQ:BJDX). Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.

Reported Float4.34M31.5%
Warrants9.31M67.6%
pre-funded223K shares at $0.0001
common3.66M shares at $2.075
common3.66M shares at $2.075
placement_agent256K shares at $2.9063
common1.13M shares at $7
placement_agent45K shares at $10
common271K shares at $13.68
common72K shares at $65.2
common2K shares at $2080
placement_agent117 shares at $2600
common134 shares at $11584
placement_agent8 shares at $14736
common77 shares at $224000
common2 shares at $320000
common10 shares at $148000
Other50.0%
Options / RSUs5 shares
≈ Estimated Actual Float

Reported float + filing adjustments

4.34M

HIGH confidence

Pending Shares as % of Float214.3%

Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.

Fully Diluted13.77M100%

Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.

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Dilution profile
Reverse splits (4)
  • 1-for-20·Jul 24, 2023~3 yr ago
  • 1-for-8·Jun 20, 2024~2 yr ago
  • 1-for-50·Nov 18, 2024~2 yr ago
  • 1-for-4·Jan 29, 2026~7 mo ago
Active mechanisms
  • 222,581 residual June 2026 pre-funded warrants @ $0.0001, registered on effective S-3 333-296866 — exercisable at will, no expiration
  • 11,223,665 shares registered for resale and effective since 2026-06-26 — free-trading immediately upon warrant exercise
  • 7,567,748 Series G / Series H / placement agent warrants @ $2.075–$2.9063, all immediately exercisable, all registered (dormant at $0.90 but instantly live on a 2.3x price move)
  • Warrant-inducement repricing playbook — Class C was cut from $392 to $65.20 to $13.68; a Series G/H reprice is the company's demonstrated next financing tool
  • 600,000-share increase to the 2021 Stock Plan reserve approved 2026-06-09 (58% of the then-outstanding share count); 28,000 RSU shares already issued to the CEO on 2026-08-17
  • Board authority to effect an additional reverse split up to 1-for-20 through 2027-06-09 — the standard precursor to a new raise cycle at this issuer
  • Stated need for $10.0M–$14.0M of additional capital by the end of fiscal 2027 against a $4.0M market cap

Market Data

Price

$1.01

Market Cap

$4.51M

Outstanding

4.47M

Float

4.34M

Avg Volume

6.05M

Exchange: NASDAQ|Source: Insight Sentry