From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.
Pending share supply dwarfs the ~3.28M float: combined Series A+B preferred convert to ~5.89M shares (188% of float) and a reverse-merger S-4 registering 82.1M shares went effective 2026-07-07. However, the preferred carries FIXED conversion prices ($11.39-$12.32) that are ABOVE the $7.63 market and is hard-capped at 19.99% pending stockholder approval — so it is not an at-market death spiral. Warrant overhang (486,264 @ $0.01 + 160,000 @ $0.25, cashless, in-the-money) is meaningful but small versus float. No shares have actually hit the float in the trailing quarter (XBRL delta = 0). Score is driven up by the transformative merger overhang and preferred-vs-float ratio, but held below extreme because the actionable near-term convertible is out-of-the-money and capped.
Share Structure
Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown
Reported float from Insight Sentry. Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.
Reported float + filing adjustments
HIGH confidence
Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.
Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.
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Sign in to continue- 1-for-25·Jul 28, 2023~3 yr ago
- ▸Series A + Series B Convertible Preferred (fixed price, above market, 19.99% capped, PIK-growing)
- ▸Hawthorn near-zero/low-strike cashless warrants (646,264 shares)
- ▸Pending CCFI/Aaron's reverse merger — S-4 effective 82,085,448 shares
- ▸Hawthorn preferred resale registration (up to 5,474,800 shares, to be filed)
Market Data
$6.89
$33.02M
4.79M
3.30M
7.5K