ISPCiSpecimen Inc. · Nasdaq Capital Market
Effective Supply — the real overhang

From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.

1.52M
Reported Float
1.44M
Tradeable Now
(estimated float)
▲ data says 1.52Moverstated 6%
2.23M
Effective Supply
2.24M
Fully Diluted
Dilution risk8/10
CONFIDENCE: HIGH
HIGHAssessed Jun 18, 2026Trigger: EFFECT registration filingCRITICALVariable-rate / anti-dilution preferred conversion overhangHIGHNear-zero-strike (pre-funded) warrant overhang

Series C preferred (3,045 remaining) converts on a variable/anti-dilution basis at/below market and is being actively converted (3,830 converted into 497,280 common in Q1 2026); base estimate ~395,363 shares (~28% of float) with upside far higher under the ratchet. Add 403,088 deeply in-the-money pre-funded warrants (~28% of float, strike $0.0001, with anti-dilution that can grow the count) and ~2.5M registered Series C resale shares now effective. Combined pending supply is ~56% of float. Serial financing every 3-4 months and two reverse splits in ~20 months reinforce an active dilution cycle. Authorized headroom and going-concern are excluded per scoring rules.

Share Structure

Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown

LIKELY STALE

Reported float from Insight Sentry. Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.

Reported Float1.52M68.0%
Convertible Notes508K22.7%
Senior Note under Note Purchase Agreement (2024-09-19/2024-09-25)
Conv. Price: fixed
Est. Shares: ~508K (estimate)
Warrants403K18.0%
pre-funded403K shares at $0.0001
placement_agent113 shares at $8000
common16 shares at $6400
Other730.0%
Options / RSUs73 shares
≈ Estimated Actual Float

Reported float + filing adjustments

1.44M

HIGH confidence

Pending Shares as % of Float55.6%

Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.

Fully Diluted2.24M100%

Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.

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Dilution profile
Reverse splits (2)
  • 1-for-20·Sep 13, 2024~2 yr ago
  • 1-for-40·Apr 27, 2026~3 mo ago
Active mechanisms
  • Series C variable/anti-dilution convertible preferred (3,045 shares outstanding, actively converting)
  • 403,088 pre-funded warrants @ $0.0001 with anti-dilution/price-adjustment provisions
  • Effective resale registration of Series C conversion shares (424B3)
  • Pending resale S-3 for May 2026 PIPE shares (488,290)

Market Data

Price

$1.97

Market Cap

$3.00M

Outstanding

1.52M

Float

1.52M

Avg Volume

139.1K

Exchange: NASDAQ|Source: Insight Sentry