ELOXEloxx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · NASDAQ
Effective Supply — the real overhang

From what's tradeable today to what's realistically coming. Bigger = more selling pressure ahead.

3.06M
Reported Float
3.06M
Tradeable Now
(estimated float)
10.44M
Effective Supply
12.53M
Fully Diluted
Dilution risk7/10
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM
HIGHAssessed Sep 7, 2026Trigger: ReassessmentCRITICALPre-funded warrant overhang at near-zero strikeCRITICALOwnership-blocker circumvention mechanism

Score is driven almost entirely by warrant overhang, which is at the maximum tier. There are 7,383,919 pre-funded warrants exercisable at $0.01–$0.11 against a $15.00 stock — approximately 241% of the 3.06M tradeable float and 183% of shares outstanding. These require no company action, no registration, no pricing event and no market condition: the holder simply exercises. The only throttle is the 19.99% beneficial-ownership blocker, and Coastlands and Domicilium already amended their warrants twice (April and June 2026) to raise that cap from 4.99%/9.99% to 19.99% AND to add a right to convert issued shares back into pre-funded warrants — a mechanism explicitly designed to reset the blocker and permit continuous exercise beyond the nominal cap. They have used it: exercise in April, reconversion in May, exercise again in June. Offsetting this: the convertible/preferred component is a genuine ZERO — carrying value of debt is $0 as of 2026-02-26, the Hercules facility was fully extinguished, no preferred is issued, and there is no ELOC, ATM, variable-rate note or floating-discount instrument anywhere in the structure. Non-pre-funded common warrants total only 50,402 and are almost entirely far out of the money ($56.43, $72.26, $4,848.80) with no reset provisions. The company is also S-3 ineligible until roughly mid-2027, so shelf-driven dilution is off the table near-term. The strict 40/30/20/10 weighting computes to 5.2, but the calibration guidance reserves the upper band for 'massive in-the-money warrant overhang' and this is a textbook instance of exactly that at 2.4x float, so the score is set at 7 rather than the arithmetic result.

Share Structure

Float to Fully Diluted Breakdown

LIKELY STALE

Reported float from Insight Sentry (NASDAQ:ELOX). Adjusted based on SEC filing analysis.

Reported Float3.06M24.4%
Convertible Notes379K3.0%
Hercules Loan Agreement residual obligations — EXTINGUISHED. Domicilium (SD MF 4, LLC) exchanged the remaining $1.0M for a pre-funded warrant on 2026-02-26 at a $5.39 post-split conversion price (185,527 shares); accrued interest waived ($56k gain on extinguishment). No convertible debt remains.
Conv. Price: fixed
Est. Shares: ~186K (agent-computed)
Royalty and Revenue Sharing Agreement with Domicilium (7/10/2024, amended 3/2/2026) — cash-settled milestone/royalty obligation, NOT share-settleable. Royalty liability carried at zero.
Conv. Price: fixed
Est. Shares: ~193K (estimate)
Warrants7.43M59.3%
pre-funded3.02M shares at $0.01
pre-funded1.74M shares at $0.11
pre-funded1.09M shares at $0.11
pre-funded928K shares at $0.11
pre-funded371K shares at $0.11
pre-funded186K shares at $0.11
pre-funded43K shares at $0.11
common35K shares at $56.43
common14K shares at $12.98
placement_agent2K shares at $72.26
common92 shares at $4848.8
Options / RSUs1.05M8.4%
Stock Options1.05M shares
≈ Estimated Actual Float

Reported float + filing adjustments

3.06M

MEDIUM confidence

Pending Shares as % of Float277.62%

Registered and convertible shares that could enter the float relative to current float size.

Fully Diluted12.53M100%

Share estimates are approximate. Convertible share counts based on current price. Review SEC filings for exact terms.

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Dilution profile
Reverse splits (5)
  • 1-for-11·Jun 1, 2026~3 mo ago
  • 1-for-40·Dec 2, 2022~4 yr ago
  • 1-for-20·Dec 20, 2017~9 yr ago
  • 1-for-100·Oct 21, 2013~13 yr ago
  • 1-for-3·Jan 22, 1999~28 yr ago
Active mechanisms
  • 7,383,919 pre-funded warrants at $0.01–$0.11 strike, perpetual, exercisable at any time — 241% of float
  • 19.99% beneficial-ownership blockers that holders have amended upward twice and can reset via the share-to-warrant reconversion right
  • Share-to-pre-funded-warrant reconversion feature (Section 3(a)(9) exempt) enabling continuous cycling past ownership caps
  • 1,048,407 stock options, 100% exercisable at 2026-06-30, WAEP $11.98 vs $15.00 — in the money, $8.1M aggregate intrinsic value
  • 685,613 shares remaining available under the amended 2018 Equity Incentive Plan (1,818,181 reserve)
  • Director option grants to Webster and Kjellson (13,587 each) struck at the public offering price

Market Data

Price

$16.57

Market Cap

$66.88M

Outstanding

4.04M

Float

3.06M

Avg Volume

37.9K

Exchange: NASDAQ|Source: Insight Sentry