DFNST3 Defense Inc. · NASDAQ · $13.84M mkt cap
Assessed Oct 23, 2026 · EFFECT registration filing
Is the float you're seeing correct?
2.99M
Estimated float

Started from the 10/20/2026 outstanding count in the S-3/A.

Confirmed · within 4%
3.09M
Reported float

Data-service feed, fetched today. The number TradingView and most screeners show.

Your screener's float is right for DFNS. Trade off 2.99M shares. What it does not show you is what is about to be added to it.

Dilution risk9/10EXTREME
CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM

The float your screener shows is right, at 2.99M. 3 convertible notes and 2 reverse splits can add another 45% of the float.

  • Preferred stock conversion overhang (market reset). 200 Series B preferred ($10M stated) auto-convert on the effective date of S-3 333-298957, and the conversion price resets to the lower of the current price or market at effectiveness.

  • Variable-rate warrant exchange (Black-Scholes cashless). Feb 2026 warrants (701,746 at 6/30, up from 56,338 through anti-dilution resets) can be exchanged at any time for shares equal to the Black-Scholes value divided by the lower of the last two closing…

  • Rapid share count growth. Outstanding went from 758,660 (6/30) to 1,663,806 (8/14) to 3,366,384 (10/20), a 344% rise in under 4 months after the 1:125 split.

From today's float to the ceiling

shares
2.99M
Estimated float
tradeable today
+467.8K can sell now
3.45M
Effective supply
float plus what sells on notice
+1.25M if floors are cut and warrants exercise
4.71M
Fully diluted
ceiling

Where the shares come from

each subtotal is a rung on the ladder above

Tradeable today
2.99M
Can sell now
Registered resale shares, issuable on notice
Already effective; the holder can sell without a further filing.
+467.8K
Warrants in the money
None of the outstanding warrants are exercisable at this price.
+0
Effective supply
3.45M
Converts only if floors are cut
Notes with no conversion price set
Sized in dollars until a price or floor is set; not counted in the ceiling.
$4.25M
Preferred stock, as converted
Common equivalent at the stated conversion ratio.
+467.8K
Above the current price
Warrants out of the money
Struck above the current tape; supply only if the stock rises.
+806.5K
Options and RSUs
Employee equity; vests and settles over time.
+68.8K
Fully diluted
4.71M

Not counted anywhere: ATM and shelf capacity. Convertible share counts use stated conversion prices.

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The facts

Price
—
Market cap
$13.84M
Shares outstanding
3.37M
Reported float
3.09M
Avg volume
758.9K
Reverse splits
2 · latest 1-for-125 · Jul 20, 2026
Going concern
Yes · 0.83 quarters runway
Quarterly burn
$4.90M

Market data as of Oct 25, 2026

Key dates

  • Nov 17, 2026 · VisionWave 48,000-share lockup expires
  • Dec 8, 2026 · $3M Term Note maturity, the outside date for a Series B second closing ($10M, about 5.1M shares including warrants at current prices)
  • Jan 6, 2027 · Project 35 168,479 shares become Rule 144-eligible
  • Feb 26, 2027 · One-year anniversary of the Series B closing